After endorsing several candidates in the western states of Arizona, Oregon, Montana, among others, Mitt Romney has continued his ongoing tour of the nation by heading back to New England where he is rallying support for conservative causes in the final weekend before the September 14 primaries in several states, including New Hampshire. Romney’s busy schedule has included stops with Chris Foley of Connecticut, supporting his bid for Governor, then with Karyn Polito who has gained attention in Massachusetts in her campaign for State Treasurer. After that he has returned to New Hampshire, where he made the latest of several speaking appearances in the state at the Seacoast Republican Women’s Chili Fest. Finally today sees him focusing back on Massachusetts, where he is supporting Charlie Baker’s candidacy for Governor.
Seacoastonline.com has an interesting article today on Romney’s appearance at the Chili Fest, where he opted not to speak in favor of one specific candidate in the tightly contested Republican Senate primary among Bill Binnie, Kelly Ayotte, and Ovide LaMontagne. Romney did however state that he would grant his endorsement and financial support to the winner of the primary, stating that unity is necessary as we move away from the primary season and focus on the goal of electing Republicans to office.
We’re going to come together and make sure we’re successful in galvanizing the support that’s needed to elect Republican individuals to carry our message to Concord and to Washington.
Conservatives nationally need to heed his words. After this Tuesday the primaries will be over, and while some fear that candidates such as Kirk or Castle would be too liberal, while others such as Angle, Miller, or O’Donnell would be too conservative, once the choice has been made among primary voters it is time to rally around the victorious candidate.
Our focus needs to be in bringing to D.C. and the state capitals those who will focus on defeating the leftist agenda of the Democratic party, instead replacing it with true conservative reform. Emulating the actions of a Charlie Crist or Lisa Murkowski, in seeking or threatening a third party run to spite the conservative that defeated them only serves to benefit the leftist cause in the end. Here is hoping that the people in New Hampshire and Delaware after this Tuesday instead focus on the model presented by our friends in Michigan, who have united behind Rick Snyder and Dan Benishek after closely contested primaries.
Romney’s statements also focused on these reasons that we need to unite:
“They thought they would get the economy stronger by announcing they were going to raise taxes on small business, increase investment by announcing they would raise the tax on dividends, get more businesses to hire people by announcing it was going to be more expensive to hire people because of ‘ObamaCare… Frankly, almost everything they have done has had the exact opposite effect that they had hoped. This president keeps on saying he inherited a difficult economy. He sure did, but he’s not made it better, he’s made it worse.”
We need to defeat this sort of failed leadership that has allowed this recession to grow to the levels that it has, while creating a deficit that compounds the problem with a weaker dollar and heavier government intrusion. With the close of the primary season this week, we will have completed the effort in choosing the best leaders to rise to the challenges that will come with rolling back the failures of the Obama administration. After that, we must give those leaders the support needed that they can be victorious, and have the opportunity to undertake that daunting but important task.
As with many of Romney’s previous endorsements, Foley, Polito, and Baker will also be previewed here soon. The three are strong candidates and deserve the attention.
Although the election is still more than two years away, and any 2012 polling numbers before the mid-terms should not be taken all that seriously, a couple of recent polls show a few interesting developments regarding the next Presidential contest.
First is from the generally reputable Public Policy Polling, which shows Governor Romney leading the primary field by a strong margin in the traditional early state of New Hampshire. 31% favor Romney in the primary campaign, to 14% for second place Newt Gingrich. Third place goes to Ron Paul with 13%. Huckabee takes 12%, Palin 9%, Pawlenty 3%. If you follow the link, the internals of the poll are fairly interesting, showing Romney running well among conservatives, and those happy with the party.
Considering the latest trend requiring early states to apportion their delegates proportionally, that is no winner-take-all among states in February or March, such an outcome would do well for Romney. He takes more than twice the vote of his nearest competitor. Huckabee and Palin, who would conventionally be considered Romney’s strongest rivals for the nomination would be mired in fourth and fifth, leaving them with only a handful of delegates and decreased momentum. Of course, campaigning in New Hampshire has not even started yet so this race has plenty of development left in it. Still, Romney begins with a very respectable advantage in the widely watched primary state.
The second poll is much more telling, in my opinion. It is a general election poll, done by Zogby Interactive, which shows Romney trailing Obama by two points, 45-43 among likely voters in an hypothetical 2012 election. Of course, it is easy to notice the headline generated by the left wing media, “Obama defeats Romney,” etc…. In actuality though the true story behind this poll is not all that different than the recent PPP poll showing Romney leading the President by three; this is not good news for the administration.
When the mainstream media is done celebrating the fact that Obama is “winning,” maybe they should note that the incumbent President is within the margin of error against a candidate that has not yet even announced a Presidential run…
and that Obama is only at 45% himself…
and that Obama does not break 50% against any challenger…
which in this poll includes Clint Eastwood, Tom Selleck, and Chuck Norris.
Seriously, the media is bragging about the fact that Obama defeats all takers, but has no comment on the fact that he has a clear ceiling of support that is well below 50%. The President does not take more than 48% of the hypothetical vote against any of the proposed candidates and is at only 45 or 46% against five of the seven. The poll shows a great deal of uncertainty about the Republican field. Romney runs significantly stronger than Huckabee or Palin (oddly enough Gingrich and Pawlenty were not considered in this poll), but Obama can’t engineer a majority against any candidate. This indicates that while opinions are fluid on the Republicans as a whole, they are pretty well set about the President. Uncertainty can be overcome through effective campaigning.
The Obama agenda, however, has been thoroughly rejected by the voters. It is odd sometimes how consistently ignoring public opinion will do that. It must be odd, as the administration is consistently unable to realize that fact.
Of course, this will send pundits asking what it means, particularly next month when he travels to Manchester. Any time a potential presidential contender does anything remotely involving New Hampshire or Iowa, it triggers all sorts of speculation about his intentions. With Romney, though, it doesn’t really tell much of anything in that regard. He’s spent the last year and a half visiting all around the country, raising and donating money for conservative 2010 candidates. He has been showing great leadership in reviving the strength of the Republican party.
While I hope and expect that he will ultimately decide to run for President, the more important story here is the potential for renewed Republican strength in the northeast. New Hampshire is showing that, with Carol Shea-Porter in serious trouble, the open seat in NH-2 a toss up, and Kelly Ayotte looking likely to keep Judd Gregg’s seat in the Republican column. No conservative should write off any part of the country as too liberal to get a candidate elected – not with the damage that this administration is doing. Its the lesson that Scott Brown taught us last January. Excessive government spending, poor leadership, and an arrogant indifference to public opinion are making people across the nation rethink the wisdom of letting Democrats have control. I think Governor Romney understands this, and sees New Hampshire not just as an important early primary state, but as land to be reclaimed for conservatives this fall.