Saw this from Geraghty at NRO and figured that it is fitting here after all of these Michigan endorsements. American Action Forum has polled a series of races against incumbent House Democrats. Regarding the race in the 7th district, which sees Tim Walberg looking to reclaim his seat from Mark Schauer:
MI-7: “Our polling, conducted for American Action Forum on August 16-18, with 400 likely general election voters, shows a competitive contest in the district. Challenger Tim Walberg has a 41 to 31 percent favorable rating compared to Representative Mark Schauer’s 40 to 36 percent rating, and leads by a 50 to 40 percent margin on the ballot test.”
The toplines for the Michigan race are here in PDF form. Scroll down to the third page, which holds the favorable ratings. Note not only the advantage for Walberg mentioned above, but also a very significant advantage for gubernatorial candidate Rick Snyder over his opponent Virg Bernero. Question 12 gives the results of the head to head match. Question 13 holds even more bad news for Schauer, as only 32% state that he deserves reelection; 55% prefer someone else.
Along with the five Republican incumbents endorsed yesterday, Mitt Romney is backing six challengers in the state of Michigan. Five of the following are running for Congress in open races or looking to unseat vulnerable Democrats. The sixth, Bill Schuette, is making a bid to become Attorney General in Michigan. As with the five incumbents previewed on here yesterday, Free and Strong America PAC is donating $2,500 to each of the campaigns of the five House candidates. Schuette meanwhile will receive $3,400 for his campaign.
Justin Amash is running in the 3rd district, which is an open seat due to the retirement of retiring Republican Vern Ehlers. Amash is a leader of the next generation, who at only thirty years old has achieved recognition as an effective representative in the Michigan House. A charismatic young leader, Amash is certain to have a beneficial influence representing Western Michigan in the U.S. House of Representatives with his reasoned, principled approach toward governing. On his campaign site, he dedicates a page specifically toward highlighting this approach, which includes reading each piece of legislation brought before him, publishing the agenda online, determining the worth of the legislation according to his set principles, publishing his voting record online, and answering to the American people on his voting decisions.
Amash represents all of the strong points that are severely lacking among the leadership of the present Congress. His approach toward government accountability and transparency is sorely needed in this era of government run wild. His willingness to connect with the American people are a strong contrast to the tendencies of those among the Democrat majority today. Of course, it is far easier for Amash to address questions and comments from his constituents because he has no reason to be ashamed of his record. Amash believes in small government, individual constitutional rights, and economic freedom. Any principled conservative has to respect the approach Amash takes toward governing; Amash’s approach shows the respect he has for his constituents.
Dr. Dan Benishek has had an amazing path so far toward the Republican candidacy in the 1st district. He announced his intent to run against Bart Stupak in the wake of the left-wing cowardice of Stupak that saw to his support of the government takeover of health care. Benishek’s reasoned approach toward health care issues, favoring a free market approach centered around tort reform, appealed so strongly to the conservative leaning people of the 1st district that Benishek quickly launched into being a serious player in the Republican primary, and quickly saw Stupak seeking retirement. Three weeks ago, Benishek claimed victory in the primary with a margin of only fifteen votes (and avoided weeks of punishing recounts due to the respectful statesmanlike approach of his opponent, Jason Allen).
Benishek’s candidacy has seen such a run of momentum that it appears truly blessed, yet his battle is not yet won as he faces State Representative Gary McDowell in a race rated by most as a toss up. His effort toward seeing victory in November centers around his four “R”s, that include his aims for seeing bills read, reducing the deficit, repealing Obamacare, and reforming Washington’s approach toward the American people. Properly focused on the economy, Benishek intends to approach all legislation with the aim of seeing jobs created for Michigan. Benishek represents the positive reform that can be gained from the frustration of American voters in the wake of the government hijack of our health care system last March.
Bill Huizenga has worked for Michigan in both the public and private sectors and is now seeking the open seat in the 2nd district currently held by Michigan conservative Pete Hoekstra. Huizenga is a strong fiscal and social conservative who has maintained a lifelong devotion toward protecting the right to life for Michigan’s unborn. As he proudly states regarding his approach toward the right to life on his campaign site: “This issue affects all of my political beliefs, and I will carry my passion for the unborn with me when I go to DC to proactively defend our youngest citizens.” As Huizenga rightfully understands the right to life is one of the founding principles of this nation, and although it is correct to focus on the immediate concerns of the weakened economy and exploding federal deficit, basic social principles such as the rights of the unborn cannot be set aside in the meantime.
The 2nd district in Michigan is used to vocal conservative representation after nearly two decades of Pete Hoekstra. Huizenga is certain to maintain that tradition. In Washington, Huizenga will fight for lower taxes, and a balanced budget amendment. As always, these two combined mean a direct aim of making heavy cuts in federal spending. On taxes, specifically, Huizenga is a bold proactive conservative who sees the merit in a simple flat tax, fair to individuals of all tax brackets and far easier to manage for business owners strangled by the current intrusive big-government atmosphere.
Andrew “Rocky” Raczkowski is looking to contribute to the Republican wave of 2010 in unseating Democrat Gary Peters in the 9th district. His campaign is centered around the simple slogan of “Generate jobs. Reduce government. Protect America,” three aims that should be very high on the list of any candidate running for public office this year. The first two go hand in hand as Rocky explains on his campaign site. Government cannot create jobs, but can provide the atmosphere that allows for the success of private business to do so. “High taxes and burdensome bureaucracy,” Rocky states, “stifle job creation.” As for protecting America, Rocky has done so himself, as an officer and twenty-four year veteran in the U.S. Army Reserve. In Washington, Raczkowski will work to continue the campaign among conservatives to see America protected, defying the political rhetoric against the War on Terror, which he describes as “defeatist” and “irresponsible.”
This race is rated as “Likely Democratic,” which really overstates the power of incumbency in this case. Peters is a freshman Democrat who took only 52% of the vote in the strong Democrat year that was 2008. Before then, the 9th had been home to conservative Joe Knollenberg. Meanwhile, Peters has represented his moderate-conservative district by being a 95% reliable vote for the extreme leftist agenda of Nancy Pelosi in the House. Rocky is a strong candidate for this seat with statewide name recognition. Republicans have a very good chance at seeing victory in this district.
Tim Walberg is seeking to reclaim his old seat in the 7th district from Democrat Mark Schauer who defeated him in the midst of the Democratic victories of 2008. In doing so, Walberg stands proudly on his record and the issues that it reflects, as he rightfully believes that the behavior of Washington these past nineteen months have vindicated his conservative beliefs. When returned to Congress, Walberg will fight for the causes on which he contrasts so drastically from the current left-wing leadership seeking wide tax relief for individuals and business, vastly reduced government spending, a repeal of the health care takeover, and a return to traditional values, including the sanctity of life and the protection of the Second Amendment.
This race is rated from toss up to “Leans Republican” by most ratings organizations. Schauer is a relatively weak freshman Democrat in a conservative leaning district who was unable to receive 50% of the vote even in his 2008 victory. Schauer is a hard leftist who defiantly supported the health care takeover, even approving federal funding for abortion. Walberg, meanwhile, is a conservative fighter. He fought to primary out the moderate incumbent Joe Schwarz in the 2006 Republican primary. He fought to win the seat in the general election later that year, and this November, Walberg will fight to retake that seat. The independent minded people of Michigan’s 7th have seen his style of principled leadership and the Pelosi style of overbearing governance and will make a choice between the two.
Along with the five Congressional candidates above, Romney has endorsed Bill Schuette, for Michigan State Attorney General. Schuette is a devoted conservative who has served the state of Michigan his entire life in varying capacities. He was a young Congressman, representing the 10th district for six years in the late 1980s. From there he went on to work in the Michigan Department of Agriculture, the Michigan State Senate, and most recently as a judge on the Michigan Court of Appeals. This year, he seeks to bring his years of experience in public service to Lansing where he will serve as Attorney General.
A proud part of the Reagan Revolution, Schuette will bring these principles backing a strong nation and traditional values to the Attorney General’s office. Schuette understands that tough economic times often mean a growth in the crime rate. Schuette is particularly concerned about the increasing parole approval for sex offenders and violent criminals, alongside the simultaneous reduction in Michigan State Police. As tax and spend leftists seek to justify their unnecessary social programs and pork spending, they make foolish decisions that seek to free up more money at the expense of public safety. As Attorney General, Schuette will remain tough in the face of special interests and weak on crime politicians, leading the way for the people of Michigan in his goal “to make Michigan the safest place in America to raise our children.”
Overall, this is a strong conservative slate that could revolutionize Michigan and this nation with a committed approach to conservative principles. Michigan has long suffered under the failed left wing policies of Democrats and the interests of their supporters in the big unions. The state very much needs leadership such as that which will be brought by these individuals should they win office. However, before that can happen, these candidates need the support of Michigan voters and conservatives nationwide. Visit their campaign sites. Learn more about them. If you can help them out with a contribution, please do so. Most importantly, if you are a resident of Michigan and eligible to vote for any of these candidates, make sure to get out this November – fewer than ten weeks now – and give them your vote.
After publicly backing Michigan gubernatorial primary winner Rick Snyder, Mitt Romney formally endorsed a total of eleven Michigan candidates for the 2010 primaries. Ten of the eleven are running for the House: five incumbents seeking to return to Washington and five challengers looking to become victors in the midst of a Republican sweep. The eleventh candidate is seeking to work for Rick Snyder and the people of Michigan as the state’s next Attorney General. These endorsements will come with financial backing from Free and Strong America PAC totaling $28,400.
As with the endorsement of Snyder, Romney’s endorsement focused on the strong fiscal policies of the Republican candidates in the economically troubled state:
Rather than enacting policies that will strengthen our economy and put people back to work, too many of our leaders are instead focused on growing the size of government. It is more important than ever before that we have elected officials who will make the tough decisions needed to put Michigan – and our country – back on the right track, and that is why I am endorsing these candidates today.
First off, the incumbents:
Dave Camp is a longtime Republican stalwart who has represented the 4th district since 1993. Residing in a district that has consistently sent a Republican to Congress since the 1930s, Camp is considered safe in his bid for reelection this year, although he will receive a challenger in Jerry Campbell. As 2010 sees a wave of new small-government minded conservatives sent to D.C, returning a veteran reformer such as Camp to his seat is crucial. In the wake of the last conservative revolution, in 1995, Camp was a notable leader in seeing the passage of welfare reform through Congress. With the overinflated spending habits of the Obama administration, fiscal conservatives such as Camp will have an even greater task ahead of them this time around.
Camp backs the effort to repeal the intrusive Obama health care takeover, joining the fight as a ranking member of the House Ways and Means Committee to see the health care law replaced with “common sense solutions.” The effort will unfortunately gain no traction among the leftist controlled 111th Congress, but will prove to be valuable groundwork for the efforts introduced among the fiscal conservatives in the 112th.
Thaddeus McCotter is an outspoken conservative fighter from the 11th district to the northwest of Detroit. McCotter is a principled conservative whose strident support for the Iraq War and denunciation of the 2008 bailout made him a target for Democrats in their efforts to unseat the opposition in 2008. Fortunately for Michigan and unfortunately for the left, McCotter survived the wave and has since been a vocal opponent of the amateurish politics of the Obama administration. McCotter’s strong personality will enable him to be an effective leader in the efforts to undo the damage caused by the fiscal recklessness of the Democrat leadership in Congress since 2007.
McCotter is sure to put forth a strong effort in rolling back government as part of coming Republican majority. He has made economic freedom his top issue, summarizing in a straightforward manner:
Free people, free markets, free enterprise and private property are the pillars of prosperity that empower Americans to pursue happiness within their families, communities and our country. We must defend these pillars of prosperity against big Government’s seductive calls to exchange our private property for state benefits.
McCotter Rocks – gotta back a guy who names his campaign site that way.
Candice Miller represents the 10th district in Eastern Michigan. First elected in 2002, Miller has been and remains a strong supporter of national defense issues that have sadly fallen to the wayside under the leftist tenure of Nancy Pelosi in the House. Of course, with the failure of the Obama administration to provide an atmosphere in which the private sector can begin to bring this nation’s economy out of recession, job growth highlights her platform for her reelection campaign. This means lower taxes for business, lower taxes for families, and combining her two strongest issues, support for the defense industry in Michigan.
Miller’s support of national defense does not come at the expense of her fiscal principles. She remains a steady small government conservative, unhappy with the Bush administration for overseeing a significant growth in the federal deficit since 2001, and horrified with the unprecedented explosion in deficit spending under the Obama administration. Miller, consistently opposed to unnecessary government spending and the high taxation to which it leads, is sure to remain a disciplined leader among the coming Republican majority, advocating restraint when the GOP has control of the purse strings.
Mike Rogers has represented the 8th district since 2001. As with the vast majority of Republicans in Congress and running for election nationwide this November, Rogers is concerned with reviving the American economy. His efforts center around the energy industry. In a wise attempt to kill two birds with one stone, Rogers has taken the lead in creating a plan to improve the economy with the goal of achieving energy independence by July 4, 2015. This plan involves increased domestic drilling, new nuclear energy plants, supporting the coal industry for jet fuel, and tax incentives for energy efficient homes, appliances, and computer systems.
Overall the plan would aim at producing and saving millions of barrels of oil, while adding thousands of jobs. Mike Rogers is providing a reasoned plan to lead this nation toward energy independence while the Obama administration foolish continues to prevent American energy workers from returning to their jobs and caves to the debunked research of environmental activist organizations. His efforts would alleviate the rising energy costs for the American consumer, protect important jobs neglected by the current administration, and provide another avenue for private business to return the nation to its previous economic strength.
Finally, Fred Upton in the sixth district seeks reelection to the seat he has held since 1987. Although considered by many to be a moderate among Congressional Republicans, a member of the Main Street Partnership weak on some social issues, Upton is a rock solid fiscal conservative who will do well in the expected economic agenda of the next Republican majority. Upton’s campaign is centered around his five point plan to reduce the punishing unemployment rate, second highest in the nation, faced by Michigan voters . The points to his “Putting Michigan Back to Work” plan include: tax credits for new home construction, a tax deduction for car payments, a 20% tax deduction for small business, the repeal of the health care mandate for businesses, and alongside his colleague Mike Rogers, the expansion of nuclear power.
Beyond this, Upton is a crusader for the fiscal responsibility that is severely lacking among the leftist majority in the current Congress. On his campaign site Upton blasts the irresponsible tax and spend policies inherent in the 2011 budget proposal of the Obama administration and continued raising of the federal debt limit – an effort Upton describes as “a startling display of fiscal insanity.” The most distressing example of this Beltway indifference to public opinion has been the health care takeover, which was rammed through Congress against the will of a vast majority of voters. On this, Upton declares “The fight is not over…It is only beginning.”
Indeed the fight is only beginning. Although the campaign fight for these five incumbents is largely won – all are currently considered safe to retain their seats – the fight to repeal and undo the damage done by the ineffective Democratic Congressional leadership of the past four years is only beginning. These candidates represent not just the start of that fight, but also the ongoing battle to strengthen this nation through positive conservative reform.
Of course, for that fight to be won, these five will need many more conservative colleagues to support them. Part two will introduce the challengers in Michigan’s races, including the popular Dr. Dan, who will be the conservative leaders of the future.
Today, Governor Romney is back in his childhood home state of Michigan, where he will attend campaign events backing Michigan Republican primary winner Rick Snyder in his continuing campaign to become the state’s 48th governor. As those who have followed the race through the summer are aware, before the August 3 primary, Romney had endorsed the more conservative Republican candidate Pete Hoekstra. Now that the people of Michigan have spoken in favor of the moderate Snyder over Hoekstra, Cox, and Bouchard, Romney is leading the way in unifying conservatives behind the better candidate for the general election.
In his endorsement of Snyder, Romney succinctly explained why conservatives, Republicans, and fiscally responsible independents now need to unite behind Snyder:
“Rick Snyder is a successful businessman, manager, and job creator, which makes him uniquely qualified to lead Michigan through these challenging economic times. Rick will promote pro-growth policies that will put people back to work and get Michigan back on the right track”
Although conservatives are uncertain about some of Snyder’s views on social issues, Snyder is an outsider and reasoned fiscal conservative who will work to the benefit on economic issues. With a state as hard hit by the recession as Michigan, this is not something voters should take lightly. Snyder understands the many challenges that face Michigan today. While Bernero represents the big union interests and continuance of failed Granholm policies that have made the economic climate so severe in the state – Michigan unemployment stands upward of 13 percent – Snyder has a sweeping ten point plan to “reinvent” and “create an era of innovation in Michigan.” These include the elimination of the punishing Michigan Business Tax in favor of a simple flat corporate tax in the model of Utah or Virginia, and an effort toward government efficiency that aims to reduce more than $2 billion in government spending.
As Rick’s “One Tough Nerd” campaign argues, the next governor of Michigan will need the dedicated efforts that only a tough nerd such as Rick Snyder can bring to the state. That is, nerds “seek input from many sources. Nerds pay attention to what’s going on around them. They develop plans, and follow though, no matter what. Nerds know how to work with others to get things done. Nerds don’t take “no” for an answer.” With this nerd philosophy, Rick will see his plan of reduced taxes, reduced government, and reduced unemployment brought through for Michigan. After eight years of failed left-wing governance from Jennifer Granholm, the state desperately needs it.
Well, the ongoing theme of razor thin continues to apply to the Georgia gubernatorial primary runoff between Karen Handel and Nathan Deal. Last night finished with Deal holding onto a narrow lead of fewer than 2500 votes. Handel has not conceded the race, as some absentee ballots are yet outstanding and Georgia does have a fair share of military voters. Nevertheless, claiming enough of a majority among the few thousand remaining absentee votes to win the election will be a tall order for Handel. While it is a strong enough possibility to warrant a wait and see attitude until the final numbers are in, closing a 2500 vote gap is somewhat of a long shot.
As with last week’s outcome in Michigan, should our favored candidate not find numbers on our side, the only proper move for conservatives is to rally behind Nathan Deal for Georgia governor. Although some principled conservatives are uncomfortable with the notion of falling in line behind the less desirable candidate, it is often a necessary move. While many Romney supporters have hoped, and still hope that Karen Handel will be the Republican candidate in Georgia, the fact remains that Nathan Deal will be a stronger conservative leader, and better for the state of Georgia than Roy Barnes or anybody the Democrats bring to the table. Remember, too, that with redistricting on the agenda after 2010, this is an extremely important cycle for state governments. Polling shows the potential for the statehouses to trend back toward the Republicans at a crucial time, but only if we avoid division within the party.
As for that polling, it speaks fairly well for the people of Georgia, giving the Republican candidate a narrow advantage over Roy Barnes. Rasmussen Reports polling from before the runoff showed Deal ahead of Barnes 49-43. Should Handel manage to find enough votes to claim victory in the runoff, her lead over Barnes was a bit more narrow, at 45-44. Either way it would not be surprising to see the numbers by the end of August somewhat better than these, as the divisive nature of the primary runoff is behind the voters and Republicans rally around their candidate in stronger numbers.
Republicans are almost certain to elect another Governor in South Dakota as well. In the wake of last week’s poll that showed SD At Large Congresswoman Stephanie Herseth Sandlin in deep trouble against Romney endorsed candidate Kristi Noem, Rasmussen has released a poll on the gubernatorial race showing how truly bad things can be for Democrats in the Mount Rushmore State. Dennis Daugaard, another beneficiary of Romney’s endorsement, has jumped out to a stunning thirty-two point lead over Democrat Scott Heidepriem. This race was never particularly close, and yet the latest poll shows Daugaard’s lead nearly doubling over the past month. If this news is bad for anybody who may have believed Heidepriem still had an outside chance, it is terrible for Herseth Sandlin. Closing her current nine point deficit will be near to impossible, with the candidate at the top of the ticket losing by such a margin. In fact, considering the fair degree of fondness South Dakota has historically shown for Democrats, such a margin should send shockwaves throughout the west.
In Michigan, where Rick Snyder took the primary victory last week, the moderate Republican now finds himself with a respectable twelve point lead in a Rasmussen poll taken the day after the primary. Whether the strong lead is due to Snyder’s recent primary victory is still in question until the numbers are backed by further polling. With the level of dissatisfaction in Michigan for current Democrat Governor Jennifer Granholm and the less than stellar numbers reflected within the poll for President Obama, a steady twelve point lead for Snyder is far from inconceivable. The poll also shows strong favorability ratings for Snyder, compared to a more evenly balanced favorable/unfavorable ratio for the Democrat Virg Bernero. RealClearPolitics and the Cook Political Report both currently see the Michigan gubernatorial race as “Leaning Republican.”
Finally, polling released today has touched on the strong campaign, backed by Mitt Romney, of Tennessee candidate Bill Haslam. Rasmussen reports takes the first post-primary look at the gubernatorial race and shows Haslam leading McWherter by a powerful 56-31 margin. Less than one week removed from the primary, this could also reflect something of a temporary post-primary bounce. Even so, it is hard to say this race will be close once the margin has settled. Factor in less recent polling by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research and by Crawford, Johnson and Northcott for WSMV-Nashville have also shown Haslam up by double digits, and it is safe to say that Republicans will be victorious in the Volunteer State come November.
So, it is clear now that Pete Hoekstra finished second in the Michigan primary for Governor. Unfortunately with the conservative vote split among Hoekstra, Cox, and Bouchard, the moderate Rick Snyder managed to unify enough of a plurality to advance to the general election. It is a shame for Michigan, as Hoekstra would have made a strong governor and made some strong moves to fix the devastated economy in that state. Thwarted in the Republican primaries, there is only one moved that we, disappointed and frustrated conservatives can make now. We need to stand up and fight!
Fight for Rick Snyder.
As frustrating as it may be to know that Michigan will go at least four more years without strong conservative leadership, Rick Snyder is by far a better conservative and better leader than anybody the Democrats put up, including and especially big union favorite Virg Bernero. Michigan cannot afford to have Bernero continue in the failed liberal vein of Jennifer Granholm. 2010 will give many opportunities for conservative favorites to advance and take the fight to the left, but in this case conservatives need to unify behind the moderate Republicans and back Rick Snyder as Michigan’s next governor. Division now will only benefit the left.
Mitt Romney and his Free and Strong America PAC have turned their attention to Tennessee, endorsing Diane Black in the Republican Primary for the Sixth District. Romney’s statement supporting the candidate says simply,
“Diane Black’s blend of experience as a small business owner and a conservative Tennessee legislator make her the type of person we need in Washington. She will fight every day to put people back to work, decrease the federal deficit and get our economy back on track.”
The evidence shows that he is correct. Black has been a conservative leader in Tennessee since 1998, in the Tennessee House of Representatives, then as Chair of the Republican Caucus in the Tennessee State Senate. She is one of the many valued fiscal warriors that the excesses of this administration are bringing to the head of the Republican Party. At her campaign site, a federal debt clock (grown by more than six million dollars in the time I’ve spent writing this article so far) catches your eye. Black wishes to be elected by the people of Tennessee to fight this, proposing a balanced budget amendment, a reasonable simplified tax policy, and an end to automatic entitlement spending.
TN-6 is an open seat vacated by retiring Democrat Bart Gordon, and is very likely to flip to the Republican column in this oncoming wave. This primary fight will likely be the strongest battle to see who next represents the Sixth District in Tennessee, so it cannot be taken lightly. This nation desperately needs its citizens to send strong fiscal conservatives to Washington, to begin undoing the mess that these past eighteen months have given us. Diane Black is an experienced leader, capable of bringing the fight to Pelosi and Obama when it comes to unnecessary spending. As usual, the campaign site is below, take a look for more on her qualifications and positions.
P.S. – Today is the day in Michigan! Pete Hoekstra needs the support of all Michigan conservatives. Get out there and give him your vote!
I am not going to touch the allegation against Cox, as politics is too dirty of a game already I really just do not know enough about it. I do know that as this article states, Hoekstra is running to the right while Snyder is playing as the moderate. Hasn’t Michigan had enough of liberalism and weak economic policies? Democrats and Republicans running as pseudo-Democrats are not what the struggling economy in Michigan needs right now.
Pete Hoekstra is the strong conservative among the big three in this race. Hoekstra has the tax policies that will foster business growth in Michigan. Hoekstra will seek repeal of the federal health care takeover, as it damages small business and individual liberties in Michigan and nationwide. Hoekstra has the courage to stand up to the big union interests and big-government Washington policies that are damaging this country. Hoekstra is a man in the mold of Chris Christie and Bobby Jindal who is willing to show leadership during these difficult times following eight years of Granholm’s disastrous tenure. Michigan conservatives need Pete Hoekstra in their corner in November and beyond; do not let this opportunity slip away. Tuesday, August 3rd.
…and Pete Hoekstra is in a three way tie. Tuesday’s primary shows all of the signs of being a close fought battle. As mentioned earlier, a Detroit News poll showed Cox and Hoekstra neck and neck at 26%, with Rick Snyder only slightly back at 20%. Yesterday, a new poll by EPIC/MRA, for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ shows Snyder jumping that gap to pull ahead of his challengers. The poll of 400 likely voters shows the moderate Snyder narrowly leading the pack with 26%, with Cox at 24% and Hoekstra, Romney’s endorsement, at 23%. Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, a good man just unable to get any traction in this primary, trails at 10%.
There is some good news for Hoekstra in the latest poll, however. He leads 28-25-22 over Snyder and Cox among those most likely to vote. Conservatives, meanwhile, back him 28-24 over Cox, with Snyder taking 21%. The difficulty for Hoekstra on Tuesday lies with the fact that Snyder takes a massive 43% of liberals and moderates.
Even so, Hoekstra trails within the margin of error in the overall poll. Michigan Conservatives need to be wary of this primary. The conservative split between Hoekstra and Cox is allowing the moderate Rick Snyder to jump to the forefront of this race. Nevertheless, with three days to go, this primary is completely up in the air. The internals of the poll show a fair share of enthusiasm surrounding the Hoekstra campaign. If that can translate to a greater share of conservative votes, it will mean victory on Tuesday.
This past week Rasmussen has done some polling to determine the latest trends in the very close race for Governor. Governor Romney has endorsed Karen Handel, joining Sarah Palin, Jan Brewer, Redstate.com, among others. Her primary opponent, Nathan Deal, has Newt Gingrich in his corner – admittedly not a weak endorsement in the state of Georgia. Last Tuesday, before the first round of the primary, Handel was shown as dead even against Deal – each at 25% in the four way race according to a Rasmussen poll of 943 likely voters. Her margin of victory was quite a bit greater than that, as she took 34% of the vote in an eleven point victory over Deal. Nevertheless, the runoff depends on the direction taken by former Johnson and Oxendine supporters. The runoff will be held on August 3.
Regarding the general election, both Handel and Deal narrowly lead the Democrat Roy Barnes. Handel takes a 45-44 lead, this also according to Rasmussen. In a somewhat unsettling sign for the runoff, Deal holds a bit of a larger lead for the general election. Although, should Handel win in the runoff, her narrow lead over Barnes should hopefully increase, as currently divided Republicans unite behind the candidate.
As for Michigan, a Detroit News poll from last week shows Mike Cox neck and neck with Pete Hoekstra, at 26.4% and 25.6%, respectively. Rick Snyder takes 20.2% of the vote, while Mike Bouchard claims 11.6%. Mitt Romney, Michigan’s native son, has endorsed Hoekstra for the primary, also to be held on August 3.